Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 108.778062 124.367189 142.215449 164.343394 191.293846 223.383261 2.649869e+02
2025-05-11 87.255522 106.905674 131.653939 165.789559 212.773021 276.947962 3.745838e+02
2025-05-18 73.967702 94.646944 122.332821 163.346127 224.858605 317.893898 4.786340e+02
2025-05-25 66.093911 87.528365 117.670161 165.044425 241.543811 368.346833 6.156519e+02
2025-06-01 59.584441 81.082817 112.528242 164.416037 253.619339 413.920217 7.638965e+02
2025-06-08 54.004920 75.132252 107.050207 161.911864 261.453860 453.687571 9.201998e+02
2025-06-15 51.182843 72.880937 106.806433 167.756167 285.178846 531.539466 1.211366e+03
2025-06-22 46.246448 66.790655 99.596431 160.185029 281.466190 550.189738 1.360645e+03
2025-06-29 43.209509 63.392880 96.390763 159.271206 290.823859 601.773162 1.648837e+03
2025-07-06 40.668919 60.541062 93.752523 158.942943 301.269163 660.000274 2.015497e+03
2025-07-13 39.872006 60.476205 95.905811 168.214427 335.401579 796.206089 2.862402e+03
2025-07-20 39.359358 60.821355 98.796517 179.452272 377.514206 979.531273 4.289158e+03
2025-07-27 36.875985 57.721170 95.345546 177.537963 388.351980 1077.972725 5.555207e+03
2025-08-03 35.014032 55.591044 93.562017 179.188181 410.099356 1234.684679 7.880279e+03
2025-08-10 32.888144 52.787112 90.138052 176.480231 418.806140 1349.083066 1.046547e+04
2025-08-17 31.449486 51.114831 88.763535 178.362792 442.132337 1549.779912 1.574731e+04
2025-08-24 29.905520 49.112671 86.494056 177.666152 457.320410 1729.624710 2.308363e+04
2025-08-31 28.322125 46.911736 83.587146 174.890900 464.904678 1880.624705 3.288154e+04
2025-09-07 27.653169 46.410715 84.205751 181.370114 507.728047 2299.290772 6.847393e+04
2025-09-14 25.857634 43.582993 79.544424 172.977988 492.724760 2320.858742 8.573233e+04
2025-09-21 24.771043 42.084915 77.665136 171.965978 506.369030 2576.521185 1.543005e+05
2025-09-28 23.815659 40.783051 76.100938 171.602494 522.829808 2888.644523 3.267438e+05
2025-10-05 23.650747 41.057433 78.104877 181.878491 589.373234 3811.010950 2.848365e+06